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いよいよ臨戦態勢…プーチンはなぜウクライナ侵攻を目論むのか？ その「経済的な理由」 加谷 珪一 プロフィール 現代 Business, 2022.02.09 ウクライナ情勢が緊迫の度合いを増している。米国が3000人規模の部隊を東欧とドイツに派遣するなど現地は臨戦態勢に入った。ロシアのプーチン大統領は、本当にウクライナに侵攻するのか、そしてウクライナ侵攻には、どの程度の勝算があるのか、経済面から分析する。本稿はあくまで経済的な分析なので、軍事オペレーションに関する論考ではないことついて留意の上、読み進めて欲しい。 〔PHOTO〕Gettyimages プーチン大統領の野望 日本は地政学への関心が低く、国家がなぜ戦争をするのかをよく理解できていない人が多い。中国や北朝鮮による各種の挑発行為についても、「中国は日本を侵略しようとしている」「金正恩は狂っている」といった単純かつ感情的な反発が..

‘Russians Are Not Your Enemy’: A Lonely Petition Against Kremlin’s War Wind-Up While most Russians blame the West for the standoff over Ukraine, a small group of intellectuals is trying to tell the world that not everybody is behind their leader. By Jake Cordell Moscow Times Feb. 4, 2022 Russia has amassed more than 100,000 troops as well as advanced equipment and weapons near its border with Uk..

Is War Inevitable? The only decent way out of the current situation is for all sides to immediately meet at the negotiating table on mutual security guarantees. Moscow Times Jan. 28, 2022 Ukrainian Military Forces servicemen attend a military drill with Next generation Light Anti-tank Weapon (NLAW) Swedish-British anti-aircraft missile launchers at the firing ground of the International Center f..

Russia is not the aggressor here Putting all the blame on Putin for the crisis in Ukraine obscures the West's own role. Tim Black, Columnist Spiked 15th December 2021 The New Statesman’s cover from last week captured the Western media’s view of Russia perfectly. Vladimir Putin, his shifty eyes impossibly close together, is pictured holding the world in one hand, while exerting a destructive forc..

opinion How Alexei Navalny’s Jailing Changed Russia When Navalny was jailed one year ago, we didn’t immediately understand that in fact, it was all of Russia that wound up behind bars. By Kirill Martynov The Moscow Times Jan. 19, 2022 Moscow City Court Press Office / TASS One year ago, opposition leader Alexei Navalny returned to Russia after a poisoning attempt on his life prompted friends to e..

People walk on a snowdrift on Palace Square in the city center. Anatoly Maltsev / EPA / TASS In Photos: St. Petersburg Grapples With Ice-Covered Streets The Moscow Times Jan. 20, 2022 - 14:26 St. Petersburg residents have seen the most ice coverage on their streets and sidewalks in years this week. Hundreds of people have landed in the hospital after slipping and falling, while local authorities..

Sanctions on Putin Would be Step Too Far, Kremlin Warns U.S. The Moscow Times Jan. 13, 2022 Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov. kremlin.ru The United States’ plans to levy sanctions against Russian President Vladimir Putin would be an “extreme” step that would signify a complete breakdown in ties between the two countries, the Kremlin said Thursday. U.S. senators, with support from the White House,..

Russian ear market A review of Collapse: The Fall Of The Soviet Union by Vladislav M. Zubok by Gary Saul Morson The New Criterion, January 2022 Gorbachev in 1985 at a summit in Geneva, Switzerland When the kgb chief Yuri Andropov became the Soviet leader in 1982, candidates for office besieged him. Whenever someone began, “Let me tell you about myself,” Andropov replied: “What makes you think yo..

opinion Why Russia Fears a Ukrainian Offensive It’s possible that the Kremlin believes Ukraine is planning a military seizure of Crimea and Donbass and is weighing options as it amasses troops. By Anna Arutunyan Moscow Times, Updated: Jan. 6, 2022 AP / TASS As the Jan. 10 bilateral security talks between Russia and the U.S. approach — and with little idea as to how Russia’s unrealistic security ..

Three Decades After Soviet Collapse, Life in Russia Could Be Worse Society is wracked by contrast, but genuine progress coexists with painful failure. By Felix Light The Moscow Times Dec. 31, 2021 Denis Grishkin / Moskva News Agency On the surface, post-Soviet Russia’s 30th anniversary year has brought precious little to celebrate. A brutal crackdown on political opposition, independent media an..